A Permanent Ceasefire Involving Israel and Palestine? We have Seen This Pattern – The Consequence Was More Bloodshed
So, which time period is this? An American leader, following an extended period of quiet support, has at last become involved to halt an military campaign from Israel that has turned large areas of a city in the Middle East to debris, resulting in numerous individuals deceased and generating global outrage.
The campaign has been preceded by a succession of strikes on Israel. Now, responding to pressure from American leadership, the Israel's leader, a conservative politician with a gift for appealing language and an intense sense of historical Jewish national duty, has approved a truce.
Historical Comparisons
The era is not present day, but 1982. The location is not Gaza City, but the Lebanese capital. The US leader is President Reagan, not the current administration.
Exist many differences between the events in Lebanon more than four in the past and what has happened in Palestinian territories in the past two years. The Hamas raid of last year, which resulted in twelve hundred and saw numerous seized, shows limited similarity with the comparatively limited efforts of the Palestinian leadership in the year or so prior to military entry of Lebanon.
Uncanny Similarities
Some are uncanny. Reagan finally picked up the phone the prime minister, telling him that events in Beirut was "a holocaust" and saying the relationship between their countries could be significantly impaired if the fighting continued.
At that time, comparable to present circumstances, the conflict developed in live on televisions worldwide. Hundreds correspondents flew into Beirut to report on for the initial instance an regional battle without media restrictions by the combatants.
Results and Outcomes
The situation following the communication from Reagan and the ceasefire in the city is revealing. The liberation movement, its factions and leaders were spread across multiple countries and a dozen countries.
Washington then withdrew international forces – a violation of the understanding with Arafat. The Lebanese president, Lebanon's newly elected leader and Israel's preferred proxy, was murdered by Damascus operatives.
Middle Eastern Changes
The same was true across the broader area. By the late seventies, the more secular and forward-thinking concepts that had seemed to offer the potential of a new future in the regional countries years before were undermined.
The consequences of this became very clear, almost immediately
Across the region, Israel and the US now confronted enemies who were much more intractable, dangerous and efficient than the secular movements and independence advocates of previous times.
International Reaction
In the west, the outcomes of this were unexpected. During the seventies, global observers and government representatives had tried to analyze what led to armed fundamentalism.
Afterward, in the start of the eighties, this ceased. Political leaders in the America, the UK and elsewhere were lost interest in "underlying reasons" of violence.
Current Similarities
Last week, reports indicate that today's officials communicated to government representatives that the country could not fight all the world and recognized Palestinian aspirations for a sovereign entity.
This too was an parallel of historical precedent. In the consequence of the military incursion of that nation, earlier administration told Israel that the strength of its defense establishment alone could not "bring just and lasting peace" and acknowledged "proper claims of the Arab residents."
Yet a American-sponsored diplomatic initiative meant to answer those complaints failed to progress. Overseas, Palestinian leadership watched powerlessly.
Worldwide concern in the region waned. The nation resisted any concessions. Afterward, there was the first intifada, and the establishment of further armed organizations.
- The repetitions of previous events provide sobering perspectives for current resolution attempts
- Permanent settlements require addressing root causes rather than brief halts
- Area politics continue to evolve in multifaceted and sometimes unexpected ways